Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.694730 0.773626 0.859236 0.959262 1.073210 1.199309 1.349871
2025-08-03 0.568622 0.676500 0.803018 0.963346 1.162503 1.403577 1.720236
2025-08-10 0.499483 0.621131 0.771490 0.973005 1.239053 1.582565 2.066677
2025-08-17 0.437733 0.563047 0.724320 0.950121 1.262984 1.688498 2.323837
2025-08-24 0.402880 0.533836 0.708497 0.962806 1.330940 1.856138 2.683822
2025-08-31 0.368557 0.500798 0.682621 0.956431 1.368198 1.980934 2.994378
2025-09-07 0.343181 0.477126 0.666490 0.960675 1.419111 2.128979 3.358655
2025-09-14 0.316239 0.448460 0.639955 0.945669 1.437285 2.226042 3.650706
2025-09-21 0.294240 0.424975 0.618615 0.935738 1.461057 2.332890 3.972382
2025-09-28 0.268262 0.393388 0.582214 0.898136 1.434746 2.351362 4.135964
2025-10-05 0.258464 0.385714 0.581938 0.918512 1.507249 2.547784 4.659536
2025-10-12 0.248525 0.376957 0.579027 0.933815 1.571893 2.736911 5.197973
2025-10-19 0.238131 0.366944 0.573631 0.944942 1.631351 2.925983 5.773838
2025-10-26 0.227265 0.355408 0.564837 0.949304 1.678847 3.098348 6.345891
2025-11-02 0.218290 0.346311 0.559333 0.958793 1.736635 3.297859 7.013929
2025-11-09 0.204703 0.328519 0.537543 0.936300 1.729286 3.361987 7.377888
2025-11-16 0.197882 0.321832 0.534617 0.948769 1.792954 3.584222 8.166320
2025-11-23 0.188722 0.310474 0.522530 0.942502 1.817205 3.723079 8.771305
2025-11-30 0.181793 0.302596 0.516134 0.946673 1.863608 3.917455 9.561026
2025-12-07 0.172736 0.290369 0.500917 0.931924 1.867490 4.013413 10.100839
2025-12-14 0.164997 0.280088 0.488665 0.922161 1.881296 4.134723 10.738284
2025-12-21 0.154298 0.263824 0.464146 0.885196 1.830157 4.090572 10.879229
2025-12-28 0.151389 0.261814 0.466739 0.905227 1.911958 4.390716 12.137348